A closed population of river otters is initially counted at 250 individuals at noon…

MATHEMATICS · Multi-part · AP · Calculus BC · Differential Equations · Differential Equations

Problem

A closed population of river otters is initially counted at 250 individuals at noon (time t=0t=0 measured in days). While food is abundant, biologists model the population growth rate as directly proportional to the current population with a constant relative growth rate of 0.12 day−10.12\text{ day}^{-1}. Exactly one day later, a sudden drought reduces available food, and the relative growth rate instantly drops to 0.06 day−10.06\text{ day}^{-1} for all subsequent times. Biologists will not intervene for the first two days. For all calculations, use a constant step size of Δt=0.5 day\Delta t=0.5\text{ day} and report every population value to the nearest whole otter. (a) Write an explicit differential equation for the population P(t)P(t) on each of the two time intervals 0≤t≤10\le t\le1 and 1<t≤21<t\le2. Clearly state the initial condition. (b) Starting from t=0t=0, approximate the population at t=1t=1 day using the given step size. Show the population estimate after each half-day increment. (c) Using your approximation from part (b) as the initial value at t=1t=1 day, continue the numerical procedure to estimate the population at t=2t=2 days. Again report the estimate after each half-day increment. (d) Interpret your final numerical result in context. Include appropriate units, and describe one biological implication of the drought during the two-day period.

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