At a system's winter-peak risk hours

PHYSICS · Multi-part · Fermi University Physics · Mathematical Methods for Physics · Earth, Climate & Energy Physics · Energy systems, storage and demand

Energy from Physics, Ch The grid with variable renewables: power flow, inertia, adequacy and electrification

Problem

At a system's winter-peak risk hours, a 20 GW20\,\mathrm{GW} wind fleet produces nothing for 30%30\% of the hours and 10 GW10\,\mathrm{GW} for the other 70%70\%. Use the exponential loss-of-load model with m=1 GWm = 1\,\mathrm{GW}. ((a)) Find the fleet's mean output at those hours and its effective load carrying capability. ((b)) The fleet is enlarged so that its output in the windy hours becomes XX, with the calm hours unchanged. Show that however large XX becomes, the ELCC stays below −mln⁡p0-m\ln p_0, where p0p_0 is the fraction of risk hours with zero output, and evaluate this ceiling. ((c)) Compare with a single 2 GW2\,\mathrm{GW} firm unit available 95%95\% of the time, independently of the weather: find its ELCC and say which is worth more to the system at the peak. ((d)) Find the largest fraction of calm risk hours a fleet could have and still reach an ELCC of 3 GW3\,\mathrm{GW} at this mm.

Browse the problem library