A regional water-distribution network is modelled

PHYSICS · Multi-part · Fermi University Physics · Thermal, Statistical & Complex Systems · Complex and collective systems · Complex and collective systems

Many Parts, One Behaviour, Ch Random graphs, the giant component and percolation on networks

Problem

A regional water-distribution network is modelled, for the purpose of estimating how much it can withstand pump failures, first as a Watts-Strogatz ring and then as an Erdos-Renyi graph with the same mean degree. ((a)) The network's measured clustering coefficient is C=0.47C=0.47. Model its local structure as a Watts-Strogatz ring with k=8k=8 pipes per pumping station (four on each side) before some pipes are rerouted at random. Derive C(0)C(0) for this ring and use C(p)≈C(0)(1−p)3C(p)\approx C(0)(1-p)^3 to estimate the fraction pp of pipes that have been rerouted. ((b)) Ignoring this clustering (an idealisation used only to isolate the effect of the degree distribution), model the same network as an Erdos-Renyi random graph with mean degree c=8c=8. Derive the site-percolation threshold ϕc=1/G1′(1)\phi_{\rm c}=1/G_1'(1) and state whether the fraction ϕ=0.5\phi=0.5 of stations left operating after a fault leaves the network above or below threshold. ((c)) At ϕ=0.5\phi=0.5, solve u=1−ϕ+ϕ ec(u−1)u=1-\phi+\phi\,e^{c(u-1)} and S=ϕ(1−ec(u−1))S=\phi\big(1-e^{c(u-1)}\big) for SS, iterating from u=1−ϕu=1-\phi. Independent simulations of Erdos-Renyi graphs with c=8c=8 at ϕ=0.5\phi=0.5 (2020 seeded realisations per size, seed 771771) give S=0.46±0.03S=0.46\pm0.03 at N=103N=10^3, S=0.485±0.008S=0.485\pm0.008 at N=104N=10^4 and S=0.489±0.003S=0.489\pm0.003 at N=105N=10^5. Compare these with the prediction and comment on the trend.

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