An avalanche is modelled as a critical branching process ( ) with offspring variance

PHYSICS · Multi-part · Fermi University Physics · Thermal, Statistical & Complex Systems · Complex and collective systems · Complex and collective systems

Many Parts, One Behaviour, Ch Self-organised criticality and avalanches

Problem

An avalanche is modelled as a critical branching process (σ=1\sigma = 1) with offspring variance v=1.5v = 1.5. The probability that the avalanche survives to at least generation TT falls, for large TT, as xT≈2/(vT)x_T \approx 2/(vT). ((a)) Find the number of generations TT at which the survival probability first falls to 0.010.01. ((b)) State, using the form of xTx_T, the exponent of the probability density P(T)P(T) of avalanche durations.

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