A weighted straight-line fit to data points gives a minimised for degrees of freedom
PHYSICS · Subjective · Fermi University Physics · Scientific Practice & Experimental Methods · Mathematical Methods for Physics · Data analysis and model fitting in the laboratory
Mathematical Methods for Physics, Ch Estimation, fitting and hypothesis testing
Problem
A weighted straight-line fit to N=20 data points gives a minimised χ2=6 for ν=20−2=18 degrees of freedom, and an intercept a=3.20±0.05 (one sigma). Someone argues: “(i) Since χ2=6 is much smaller than the number of points, this is an excellent fit, better than one could normally expect. (ii) The interval 3.20±0.05 means there is a 68 per cent probability that the true intercept lies between 3.15 and 3.25.” (a) Find the error in claim (i), using the expected value and standard deviation of χ2 for this ν. (b) Find the error in claim (ii), and state what the quoted interval actually asserts.