A workshop micrometer gives the diameters of nine ball bearings from the same batch

PHYSICS · Multi-part · Fermi University Physics · Scientific Practice & Experimental Methods · Uncertainty in measurement · Data analysis and model fitting in the laboratory

Measurement and Method, Ch Monte Carlo and the bootstrap: uncertainty by sampling

Problem

A workshop micrometer gives the diameters of nine ball bearings from the same batch, in millimetres (illustrative data, not a measured batch): 6.02, 6.05, 6.01, 6.08, 6.03, 6.06, 6.04, 6.09, 6.026.02,\ 6.05,\ 6.01,\ 6.08,\ 6.03,\ 6.06,\ 6.04,\ 6.09,\ 6.02. No formula free of an assumed distribution shape is available for the uncertainty of a median, so it is obtained by the bootstrap: resample nine diameters with replacement from this list, recompute the median, repeat, and take the spread of the replicate medians. A spreadsheet carried out B=10B=10 such resamples (illustrative, and kept to ten so that the arithmetic can be done by hand; seed stated as 7) and returned these ten replicate medians, in millimetres: 6.02, 6.04, 6.05, 6.03, 6.04, 6.06, 6.02, 6.05, 6.04, 6.036.02,\ 6.04,\ 6.05,\ 6.03,\ 6.04,\ 6.06,\ 6.02,\ 6.05,\ 6.04,\ 6.03. ((a)) Find the median of the original nine diameters. ((b)) Treating the ten replicate medians as the readings in hand, compute their mean and their sample standard deviation with the divisor B−1B-1; this is the bootstrap standard uncertainty of the median. ((c)) Report the diameter's median with its bootstrap uncertainty in the standard xˉ±u(x)\bar x \pm u(x) format.

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