An event at a hadron collider contains a single reconstructed muon with transverse…
PHYSICS · Multi-part · Fermi University Physics · Mathematical Methods for Physics · Particle Physics & Quantum Fields · Particles, interactions and experiment
Particle Physics, Ch Detectors, event reconstruction and claiming a discovery
Problem
An event at a hadron collider contains a single reconstructed muon with transverse momentum pT=45GeV/c and longitudinal momentum pz=130GeV/c (found from the track curvature and the muon's polar angle); no other particle above threshold is reconstructed. Someone argues: The two colliding protons meet head-on, so the total three-momentum of the collision is zero in the laboratory frame. The muon is the only particle reconstructed, and it carries away pz=130GeV/c along the beam, so momentum conservation requires an invisible particle with pz=−130GeV/c to balance it, so its missing energy is Emiss=cpT2+pz2=c452+1302GeV=137GeV. The same analysis team reports a separate search with Nsig=225 signal events on a background of Nbkg=2500 events, the background being known only to a systematic uncertainty of 5% of its value (i.e. ±125 events), independent of how much data is collected. They then argue: The significance is 225/2500=4.5 standard deviations already; collecting four times the data will multiply this by 4=2, comfortably clearing five standard deviations.
((a)) Find the error in the missing-energy argument and give the correct missing transverse energy and its direction.
((b)) Find the error in the luminosity argument. Measuring the excess, as Nsig/Nbkg does, in units of the background's uncertainty, but taking that uncertainty to be the larger of the statistical Nbkg and the systematic one, estimate the significance this measurement can ever reach, however much data is collected.