A satellite's altitude loss under atmospheric drag is found by integrating da dt = -…

PHYSICS · Multi-part · Fermi University Physics · Computational Physics · Research software practice, verification and validation · Research software practice, verification and validation

Scientific Computing for Physicists, Ch Are they the right equations? Solution verification, benchmarks and validation

Problem

A satellite's altitude loss under atmospheric drag is found by integrating dadt=−μa CdAm ρ(a) a\frac{da}{dt} = -\sqrt{\frac{\mu}{a}}\,\frac{C_dA}{m}\,\rho(a)\,a with a verified RK4 code (order confirmed by a step-halving study), using a drag coefficient CdC_d from a preflight wind-tunnel test and a standard atmospheric density model ρ(a)\rho(a). For a satellite orbiting near 400 km altitude, the code predicts an altitude loss over 30 days of S=−12.4 kmS = -12.4\,\mathrm{km}. A step-halving study gives a numerical uncertainty unum=0.05 kmu_{\rm num} = 0.05\,\mathrm{km}. Propagating the density model's stated ±15%\pm 15\% uncertainty at 400 km through the same code gives an input uncertainty uinput=0.90 kmu_{\rm input} = 0.90\,\mathrm{km}. Ground-based tracking of the satellite over the same 30 days gives D=−13.1±0.4 kmD = -13.1 \pm 0.4\,\mathrm{km}. ((a)) Compute the comparison error E=S−DE = S - D. ((b)) Combine unumu_{\rm num}, uinputu_{\rm input} and uDu_D (independent sources) into uvalu_{\rm val}. ((c)) Using k=2k = 2, give the interval for δmodel\delta_{\rm model} and state whether the comparison is evidence of model-form error at 400 km. ((d)) The same CdC_d and density model, unchanged, are then used to predict the altitude loss of a different satellite orbiting near 250 km, where the density model's own uncertainty grows to about ±40%\pm 40\% because of variable atomic-oxygen composition, and where the flow regime around the satellite may differ chemically from the one in which CdC_d was measured. Is the 250 km prediction inside the validation domain established in part (c)? Justify.

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