GNSS receivers straddle a locked strike-slip fault

PHYSICS · Multi-part · Fermi University Physics · Earth, Climate & Energy Physics · Seismology, tectonics and geodynamics · Seismology, tectonics and geodynamics

The Solid Earth, Ch Faults, the earthquake cycle and seismic hazard

Problem

GNSS receivers straddle a locked strike-slip fault. Far from the fault the fault-parallel velocity relative to a fixed reference block approaches a plateau of ±25 mm yr−1\pm 25\,\mathrm{mm\,yr^{-1}} on the two sides of the fault (a total relative motion of 50 mm yr−150\,\mathrm{mm\,yr^{-1}} across the boundary). At a perpendicular distance x=20 kmx = 20\,\mathrm{km} from the fault trace the measured fault-parallel velocity is vy=12.5 mm yr−1v_y = 12.5\,\mathrm{mm\,yr^{-1}}. ((a)) Using the arctangent model of interseismic strain accumulation, vy(x)=(V/π)arctan⁡(x/D)v_y(x) = (V/\pi)\arctan(x/D), find the long-term slip rate VV and the locking depth DD. ((b)) A seismic source zone along this fault lies at distance R=20 kmR = 20\,\mathrm{km} from a town. Its Gutenberg-Richter law is log⁡10N(≥M)=3.0−M\log_{10}N(\ge M) = 3.0 - M (annual rate, MM the moment magnitude), valid for 5≤M≤7.55 \le M \le 7.5. Shaking at the town follows the illustrative ground-motion model log⁡10(y/g)=−2.5+0.5M−log⁡10(R/km)\log_{10}(y/g) = -2.5 + 0.5M - \log_{10}(R/\mathrm{km}), where yy is peak ground acceleration in units of gg. Find the magnitude M∗M^{*} and ground motion y∗y^{*} for which the annual rate of exceeding y∗y^{*} equals 1/475 yr−11/475\,\mathrm{yr^{-1}}, the return period used in building codes.

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