PHYSICS · Subjective · Fermi University Physics · Mathematical Methods for Physics · Thermal, Statistical & Complex Systems · Statistical foundations and the equilibrium ensembles
Thermal Physics, Ch Probability, random walks and the statistics of large numbers
Problem
A crystal surface offers N=1200 adsorption sites. Each site is, independently of the others, occupied by an atom with probability p=0.250 and empty with probability q=0.750, so the number n of occupied sites has the binomial distribution P(n)=(nN)pnqN−n. The text kept p general when it derived the Gaussian limit; carry that derivation through yourself for this p, and then test it against the exact binomial. (a) Write lnP(n), apply Stirling's approximation in the form lnM!≈MlnM−M to each factorial, and show that dndlnP=ln[nq(N−n)p], treating n as continuous. (b) Show that this derivative vanishes at n0=Np and that the second derivative there is −1/(Npq). (c) Hence write the second-order Taylor expansion of lnP about the peak, exponentiate, and fix the prefactor by normalisation, ∑nP(n)≈∫P(n)dn=1. You may use ∫−∞∞e−au2du=π/a. (d) Evaluate σn, P(300) and P(330) for the numbers given, and compare the two probabilities with the exact binomial values 0.02659 and 0.003639.