12% of the over-60 population of Agento have lung cancer

MATHEMATICS · Multi-part · CBSE · Mathematics · Probability · Probability

Problem

12% of the over-60 population of Agento have lung cancer. Of those with lung cancer, 50% were heavy smokers, 40% were moderate smokers, and 10% were non-smokers. Of those without lung cancer, 5% were heavy smokers, 15% were moderate smokers, and 80% were non-smokers. A member of the over-60 population of Agento is chosen at random. (1) Find the probability that the person was a heavy smoker. (2) Given the person was a moderate smoker, find the probability that the person has lung cancer. (3) Given the person was a non-smoker, find the probability that the person has lung cancer.

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